Q3 seasonality is wrapping up exactly how we talked about — choppy with a final wipeout to put the fear of God in everyone.

I don’t think this is the leg up that teleports us to 150k, but I’m hoping this drives up to the recent local high around 118k to lock in that structure shift.

Then I’ll be looking for the next higher low in the 113-114 zone as the base for the real leg up. This next higher low is where I’ll be looking to add more risk.

Believing in the trend before everyone else does is going to be a massive edge.

Positioning and what I’ll be looking to buy

I’ve been slowly adding to BTC and equity indexes on dips. My spot port looks like this in descending order: BTC SPX NAS SILV SOL ETH DOGE.

When it’s time to add risk I may be looking at boomer coins like XRP, reflexive memes like SPX6900, maybe another layer1. It depends what looks good then.

TLDR; Time to lock in. The stars are aligning.

ENA

Consolidating at the Weekly Trend (D1 100/200 EMA) and forming a nice composite under range lows.

Price must reclaim the range low and the H4 trend which carried us down from most recent swing high.

PUMP

Last week I highlighted the H4 trend as key resistance to break and the Daily Trend (H4 100/200 EMA) as potential support. Failure to hold the Daily Trend would likely send us to the next HTF support region at 50.

What happened: Price held 50 as support and broke the H4 downtrend. We're currently holding above the H4 trend.

What's next: Similar to last week, we must break 60 (the monthly VWAP) for continuation.

XPL

XPL has been my coin of choice since TGE — great volatility and clean price action & trends.

Price is tagging the VWAP anchored to Binance spot TGE candle, which is providing a nice bounce.

The H1 trend has been the most reliable EMA. We must reclaim it for further upside.

If we lose and hold underneath the aVWAP, I think we get a prolonged range on XPL at best and a downtrend at worst.

TLDR; Look for price to hold the listing aVWAP and break the H1 trend.

Bitcoin bounced nicely from 110k line, which is my pivot point.

But my focus is on alts this week.

ASTER

ASTER is high on the list, but I’m not longing straight into resistance.

Instead, I want to see a break above my memeline, a retest and some relative strength.

MYX

This is an inorganic scamcoin, but it’s given clear setups and it teleported 29% in three hours on Saturday.

Watch for consistent higher lows and relative strength before breakouts. Here’s the pattern to look for:

ETH

Simple. I’d be looking for this range level reclaim, ideally with some relative strength

ETHBTC

Is still maintaining its two-year trend reversal that occurred just 2 months ago.

ETH

Is the king of altcoins, so its performance relative to Bitcoin often serves as a proxy for the broader altcoin market.

The big picture: As long as we're trending above the D2 200 MAs, the door remains open for a more extensive rally across altcoins.

More actionable: We need to reclaim the H4 200 MAs, which have historically marked strong, multi-month trending moves in both directions.

SOL

Trending nicely above the D1 200 MAs, with the most recent selloff nearly providing a perfect retest entry in tandem with the key support level at $190.

Reclaiming the H4 200 MAs could be the spark of momentum that leads to immediate trend continuation across all timeframes toward $250, with potential for a breakout into new ATHs.